Cyclenation

Author

Callum Brierley, cycling markets analyst: race odds and each-way terms

Updated

Callum Brierley has followed the WorldTour since the early 2010s and has kept a ledger of opening and closing prices for the Grand Tours and the spring Classics for most of that time.

Author record

Callum Brierley

Role
Cycling markets analyst
Tracks
Race odds, each-way terms and bookmaker margins
Covers
Grand Tours, spring Classics, bet types, bookmaker reviews, free bets and betting apps
Keeps
A ledger of opening and closing prices, places paid and the margin of each book
Part 01

What Callum writes about

Callum writes about how cycling markets are priced, what each-way terms are worth and where a bookmaker's margin hides. Every price on his pages is converted into the chance it implies, and the place terms come before the headline number.

Stakes small, records everything. Betting is paid entertainment with a known cost; the pages explain how a market works so that readers can judge a price for themselves, and they do not tip riders.

Part 02

How the figures are checked

A price on a page is either a dated reading of a bookmaker's market or a worked example labelled as one. Licences are read on the UK Gambling Commission public register. Offers are dated on the day they were checked, and the bookmaker's own terms are the ones that count.

Part 03

Corrections and old readings

When a bookmaker changes its terms after a page was checked, the page is corrected and the new check date replaces the old one. A reader who finds a figure that no longer matches the bookmaker's own terms can report it through the contact page; the terms page is read again before anything on the site changes.

Readings that turned out badly stay in the ledger. A record that keeps only the prices that came good is not a record, and the margin of a market is measured the same way whichever rider won.

Part 04

Pages by Callum

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